in Michael Hammerschlag's Commentaries
Forecast
Actuality
Mar ’08 Warned “world markets are hanging by a thread” and “A Sept ‘08-? Lehman Bros. Collapses; Hundreds of trillions $ of junk
collapse by any major player (investment house) could create mortgage bonds, CDS, CDO’s peddled by USA destroy
a chain reaction that would cause a worldwide collapse” world banks + economy; Starts new depression?
The Bush Battered Dollar Oct ’07- Warned friends to sell everything ALT
Aug
’08
Said McCain’s
judgment was deeply flawed going back to
Nov ’08 McCain crushed
in epochal election by first black
decision to not “allow” himself from being repatriated from President. Chooses spectacularly unqualified and
North Vietnam prison- A Question of Judgment Scoop ALT incompetent Palin Veep; Runs erratic, flakey campaign
Oct ’07 Said Putin would never leave office- that he would appoint May ’08 Putin Prime Minister under “President” Medvedev;
a protégé who would make him Prime Minister, then come Medvedev looks harried under constant pressure;
back as President – The Infinite Putin- Capital Times Former liberal more and more hard-line
July ’02 Warned Israel’s persecution of Arafat and the PLO, the only June ’07 After Bush backing of Fatah takeover, Hamas crushes
moderate Palestinian leader risked bringing HAMAS to power; Fatah in Gaza and assumes control; Israel imposesSept ‘98 Warned of enormous rise in global warming, creating Sept ’04 Florida hammered by 4 hurricanes
more and larger hurricanes + extreme weather; Said changes Sept ’05 Katrina + Rita destroy New Orleans
likely past point of no return; Exposed contributions of NO2 Scientists say temp rise past point of no return
Said China + India coal burning would make Kyoto moot- Maui Time China + India’s CO2 generation doubled since 1990
Aug 27,‘05 (Sat) “22 drainage pumping stations operate continuously to Aug 29-31 – Power out; Pump stations fail; Levees break;
keep city from flooding so it is already in flood equilibrium, but these City 2/3 destroyed by catastrophic contaminated
stations will fail during hurricane hit. City could become 350 sq. mi. flood that will take years to recover from
abandoned destroyed bathtub filled with warm toxic chemicals from vast
chemical/oil industry, sewage, 1000's of businesses.” - HammernewsBlog
Jan ’03 Warned of our vulnerablilty to backpack bombs re. my July ’05 2 sets of Backpack Bomb attacks on London Subways
experience with Brit paranoia about them in IRA-torn London
after projected Iraq invasion Radio Commentary for NPR
Oct ’02-Mar ’03 Said Bush would invade Iraq no matter what, May ’03 Invasion occurs against wishes of UN and most of
and that claims of Saddam’s 9-11/Osama links + WMD’s were world; No WMD’s or Osama links found; Ordnance, treasures
lies pushed by propaganda, distortions, and cooked reports- of antiquity, all institutions (inc. nuclear) destroyed in looting
Liberal Slant
Oct '97
Warned insane
to send
people into
space without
Feb '03 Shuttle burns
up after damage. NASA doesn't even
quick rescue
capability of air-launched rocket plane
study
shuttle w telescopes because
there are no options
Predicted faster, better, cheaper NASA policy
was
Crew
has no jet packs, repair kits,
fuel for rendezvous
cutting corners that would lead to disasters
Dec ’99 Titan + Delta 3
launches fail – Aug ’98,
Mars Orbiter
+ Polar Lander
missions lost
Sept
22 '01 Claimed Pakistanis big
source of terrorism; Warned
Jan
'02 After 2 Paki attacks India
close to War w Pakistan
50%
chance
of In/Pak nuclear war within 3-5 years in ‘98
Warned of Attacks through
Postal
System
Oct '01 Series
of Mailed Anthrax Episodes,
July
14 '01 Predicted Palestinian/Moslem
attack
on NYC or DC
Sept 11 Coordinated Terrorist Attacks on NYC + DC
(see
also
below Aug 00: collapse of talks augers violence)
June ’89 Predicted collapse of
Warsaw Pact
+
Nov
’89 Berlin Wall Falls, Within 18
Possible end of Cold War
months
Eastern Block free
Nov
’90 Predicted length, conduct, and outcome of
Gulf War
March ’91 Gulf War lasts 6
weeks in staggering
(4-8 weeks, greatest aerial assault,
overwhelming
victory)
victory
with almost no casualties; Missiles
Argued desert would allow total visibility to
high-tech weapons
devastate
buildings like video game
June
’97
Forecast
liberalization of Iran
under Khatami
Sept
’98 Fatwa against
Rushdie
lifted
+ probable lifting of Salmon Rushdie contract
Iran
has soccer tournament w US; Liberalization
continues against murderous
religious opposition
July
’97
Criticized
corrupt Hawaii
Bishop Estate-
Aug-
Sept 97 Gov. orders massive
investigation
of
Largest ‘charity’ in coun. +
obviously fixed HI gas prices
Bishop
Es., Later 10 year price-fixing
($12 billion)
($1.67-1.90/g-
2x mainland)
prosecution of oil
companies brought
Aug
’00
Predicted
Lieberman’s choice
would lead to Gore’s
Dec
’00 Gore “loses” after
electoral
dead-heat
defeat; If he ran from Monica,
would
also run from
when
he doesn’t mention past and spurns
economic boom + Clinton campaign talents
Clinton’s
help; Loses TN + ARK
Aug
’00 Warned collapse
of Middle
East talks would lead to
Dec’00 Over
350
killed in bitter fighting; no end in
huge eruption of
violence;
Maybe end in Arab expulsion
sight;
Hard-liners close to taking power in Israel
fm West Bank + increased
terrorism against US
USS
Cole blown up
Bush’s tax rebates reckless
and unwarranted
vast
deficits projected; Social Security raided
and
risked
Feb
’97 Warned of dangers of
Chinas
burgeoning wealth +
July
’99-2000 Brutal
crackdown on
Falun Gong
power/ intimidating Taiwan,
firing missiles, Spratley Is
despite
WTO and MFN membership
takeover, Tibet brutalization
consideration
July
’93
Derided
sanctions as
ineffective moral sop to wealthy
Mar
’99 Years of sanctions fail to
stop
nations
that hurts weak + innocent in offending co. (Iraq),
Serbian ethnic
cleansing; NATO starts mass
not rulers; Hard to stop + lose
raison d’etre (Cuba)
bombing;
Serbians retreat fm
Kosovo
in June
Aug ’93 Warned
criminal violence and Mafiya control would
’95-’97 Oligarchs
and Mafiya chieftains control
virtually all
be situation in Russia for decades (pan far right)
business;
Contract killings common;
Oligarchs appointed to
government
Feb ’84
Analyzed
media’s
ability to cover wars in Vietnam, +
Jan
’91 Press is rigidly
controlled
in Gulf War, not allowed
Predicted new restrictive policies in Grenada,
Lebanon, Falklands
free
movement or to talk to soldiers without officers
was ominous trend that could change government- press
present;
Reporters set out on their own + are
relations forever
captured + tortured by Iraqis
Dec ’80 Predicted
Soviet
crackdown on Poland inevitable,
Dec
’81 Soviet Union
forces Jaruzelski to enact martial
otherwise revolutionary fervor would spread
law;
imprisons Walesa + Solidarity members
Dec ’79 Predicted Iran hostage
crisis would, without decisive
Jan
‘81 Hostages
released after
1¼ years; Damages US
action, become endless grinding humiliating sideshow
self-image more
than any event but Vietnam;
Destroys
Carter’s candidacy
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